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March 5, 2015

Professor takes madness out of the month

With the NCAA Men's and Women's Basketballl Tournaments tipping off soon, brackets and bubble-busters are reaching a fever pitch. Dr. Jay Coleman, the Richard deRaismes Kip Professor of Operations Management and Quantitative Methods in the Coggin College of Business at the University of North Florida, and self-professed sports fanatic is trying to take some of the madness out of the month with his "Dance Card" Method for determining NCAA March Madness brackets, also known as "bracketology."

The Dance Card is a designed to predict which teams will receive at-large tournament bids from the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee, and the formula has correctly predicted 108 of 110 at-large bids over the last three years combined, an impressive 98 percent accuracy rate. Below are some points that he can discuss.

Coleman is actively involved in research primarily focused on predictive and prescriptive analytics, often with applications in sports. His previous research on issues in college basketball, college football, major league baseball and the NBA has been published in numerous publications, including Interfaces, Industrial Relations, Managerial and Decision Economics, Journal of Sports Economics and the Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, to name a few.

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