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Australia's rainforests are the first to switch from carbon sink to carbon source, study warns

Australia's rainforests first to switch from carbon sink to source
Credit: Adrienne Nicotra / ANU

The trunks and branches of trees in Australia's tropical rainforests—also known as woody biomass—have become a net source of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, according to a new international study.

According to the team behind , which includes experts from The Australian National University (ANU), Australia's wet tropics are the first globally to show this response to . The rising temperature, air dryness and droughts caused by human-driven climate change are likely the major culprits.

Usually, tropical forests absorb more carbon than they release—what's known as a carbon sink. Woody biomass plays a key role in this process, alongside forest canopies and soils.

But lead author Dr. Hannah Carle, from Western Sydney University, said the capacity of woody biomass to continue working as a carbon sink is at risk.

"Tropical forests are among the most carbon-rich ecosystems on the planet. We rely on them more than most people realize," said Dr. Carle, who conducted this work as part of her Ph.D. at ANU. "Forests help to curb the worst effects of climate change by absorbing some of the released from burning . But our work shows this is under threat.

"The change our study describes is largely due to increased tree mortality driven by climate change, including increasingly extreme temperatures, atmospheric dryness and drought. Regrettably, the associated increase in carbon losses to the atmosphere has not been offset by increased tree growth. This is surprising because higher carbon dioxide levels should make it easier for plants to scavenge carbon dioxide from the air, leading to more tree growth and greater carbon sink capacity."

The findings have significant implications for emissions reduction targets, which are partly based on the estimated capacity of forests to continue to absorb emissions and help mitigate climate change.

"Current models may overestimate the capacity of to help offset fossil fuel emissions," Dr. Carle said.

"We also found that cyclones suppress the capacity of in these forests. This is cause for concern, with cyclones projected to become increasingly severe under climate change, and to impact areas further south, affecting additional stretches of forest to a potentially greater extent."

Co-author Professor Adrienne Nicotra from ANU added, "The rainforest sites at the heart of this research provide unusually long-term and high-resolution data on forest health through time. We need to pay attention to that data."

More information: Hannah Carle, Aboveground biomass in Australian tropical forests now a net carbon source, Nature (2025). .

Journal information: Nature

Citation: Australia's rainforests are the first to switch from carbon sink to carbon source, study warns (2025, October 15) retrieved 15 October 2025 from /news/2025-10-australia-rainforests-carbon-source.html
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