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Accelerated Gulf of Maine warming may pose a serious threat to American lobsters

Warming oceans may pose a serious threat to American lobsters
American lobster larvae viewed through a microscope. Credit: Abigail Sisti

The Gulf of Maine is warming faster than 99% of the world's oceans, raising concerns for its $2 billion-a-year American lobster fishery. Scientists at William & Mary's Batten School & VIMS have been studying the impacts of ocean acidification and warming on lobster reproduction, and the results of their most recent research suggest the rising temperatures pose the greatest risk.

Utilizing a purpose-built experimental facility designed by Professor Emily Rivest and housed in the Batten School of Coastal & Marine Sciences & VIMS' Seawater Research Laboratory, the researchers exposed egg-bearing lobsters from the Gulf of Maine to water temperature and pH conditions that mimic those predicted for 2060.

in the journal Marine Ecology Progress Series, the results revealed that the embryos can handle ocean acidification surprisingly well, but increased temperatures led to distinct stress responses that ultimately resulted in smaller larvae.

"American lobsters are dynamic creatures that have been shown to tolerate highly variable conditions as they move from to the deeper ocean," said the study's lead author Brittany Jellison, who conducted the research as a postdoctoral scholar at the Batten School & VIMS. "However, as we observe rising ocean temperatures, increased acidification and more frequent marine heat waves, it's important to understand how future environmental changes might impact this economically and culturally important species."

Turning up the heat

This study is the third publication by the research team, which also includes Jellison and former student collaborator Abigail Sisti. The team's first study found limited impacts on maternal grooming behaviors in response to increased warming and acidification, while their found evidence of stress responses and cellular damage in lobster embryos exposed to acute, short-term drops in pH levels.

This most recent study investigated the long-term, interactive impacts of and warming on the development and physiology of brooded lobster embryos. Using 24 egg-bearing lobsters collected by the Maine Department of Marine Resources and the Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries, the team conducted experiments involving four different combinations of and acidity levels to determine how the changes affected embryo and larval development.

"Our experiment was unique in that we were able to study the animals over a period of five months to determine how treatment effects accumulated over multiple life stages," said Rivest. "We measured overall development, metabolic rate, biochemical composition and and found the embryos tolerated increased acidification quite well, but they were much more sensitive to heat."

Warming oceans may pose a serious threat to American lobsters
A researcher inspects a clutch of fertilized eggs, which are carried externally under the lobster's tail for several months until they hatch into larvae. Credit: Virginia Sea Grant

Water temperature was set to mimic seasonal temperatures in the Gulf of Maine, with experimental temperatures increasing by 4 degrees Celsius to 2060 projections. The warmer water led to increased metabolic rates and faster embryo development. However, when the larvae hatched, they were measurably smaller than those that developed in cooler temperatures despite their faster initial development.

"Their ability to withstand increased acidification may be in part due to the varying pH levels found in their natural environments. However, the larvae hatched in warmer waters were noticeably smaller, which may result in decreased survival in the wild," said Jellison, who noted this may be why female lobsters tend to release their larvae in batches as they migrate through different marine environments.

The study also found that the biggest changes in embryo activity happened during the warmest months, which correlates with seasonal patterns but also raises concerns about what might happen as marine heat waves become more frequent.

Implications for the fishery

Understanding how early life stages are affected by predicted environmental changes is critical for protecting the future of the American fishery. While landings in the Gulf of Maine have increased in recent years, harvests in Southern New England are in decline—an indication that populations may be migrating north to cooler waters. However, as temperatures continue to rise with more frequent marine heat waves, even lobsters in the Gulf of Maine may eventually feel the impact.

"Additional research is needed to better understand how these changes extend to influence the performance and success of free-swimming larval stages," said Rivest. "These negative carryover effects have been found in other crustaceans, and this knowledge will help determine the impacts on future recruitment and the overall success of the fishery."

The team would also like to explore whether lobsters can pass on resilience to their young and how different offshore environments might help or hurt development. For now, their results stand as a warning that rising ocean temperatures could pose a serious challenge.

More information: B. M. Jellison et al, Effects of multiple stressors on embryos and emerging larvae of the American lobster, Marine Ecology Progress Series (2025).

Journal information: Marine Ecology Progress Series

Citation: Accelerated Gulf of Maine warming may pose a serious threat to American lobsters (2025, October 3) retrieved 3 October 2025 from /news/2025-10-gulf-maine-pose-threat-american.html
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