Insider trading—the legal kind—is a lot more profitable if you work for a multinational company
Corporate insiders who trade stocks based on the information they gain on the job earn a lot more if they work at multinational corporations than their peers at U.S. companies with no sales abroad. That's the .
trading isn't illegal as long as the person and the information is already in the public domain.We wanted to know if multinational insiders stand to make more money because of the complexity of the information they could possess relative to outsiders.
So we examined returns from reported to the SEC from 1987 to 2019 by insiders at over 10,000 companies. This is only a subset of all insider trades reported during the period because we focused on only those transactions most likely to be informed by the employee's insight. We then compared monthly returns for insiders at multinational and domestic companies with those for a typical investor.
We found that all insiders beat the market, but those at multinationals did better—especially if they were on the highest rungs of the corporate ladder. While insiders at domestic companies typically obtained a return of 2.4% in the month following a stock purchase, those at multinational corporations reaped 2.8%. That may not sound like a lot, but, assuming consistent returns, it could amount to earning $170,000 more if an insider traded $1 million over several months. And it's triple the
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The most in-the-know insiders—executives and others with the most intimate knowledge of the company and its operations—at multinationals got an even bigger advantage, earning 3.6% per month vs. 2.7% at domestic companies.
Why it matters
Insider trading is familiar to most people from movies that portray it in criminal terms, such as of "Wall Street." In the film, he makes millions off others' inside information.
But even when it is legal, insider trading is very profitable. That's because insiders are more knowledgeable about their industry and process information more effectively than outside investors.
With global companies, the advantage of being an insider increases. Since multinational companies generate earnings in foreign countries, with different currencies, , economies and , it can be hard for an outsider or analyst to and its stock price. This is especially true when the company does business in regions that are culturally and linguistically distinct from the U.S. This helps insiders trade more efficiently, by buying underpriced stocks at a bargain and selling them later for a windfall.
to work harder by offering them a stake in their success, but if insiders seem to be getting an unfair advantage over ordinary investors, it may undermine trust in financial markets. The size and profitability of such trades—particularly in light of our data—mean regulators and policymakers may want to consider whether new restrictions on insider trading are needed, such as placing additional limits on the timing or frequency of trades.
What other research is being done
Scholars, including us, are pursuing many avenues of research on insider trading, such as and . We've recently conducted research on how insider trades by colleagues at the same company , and we are currently looking at how innovation affects insider trading.
Another recently published project relates to how information is incorporated into stock market prices and that may affect insiders' ability to trade profitably. Similarly, ongoing research uses a GPT language model to assess the complexity of business regulatory filings and financial statements by , which could also affect how outside investors understand stock prices compared with insiders.
Provided by The Conversation
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